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Palo Alto Networks Strategy in Cybersecurity

Vydáva MEXEM EUROPE

August 19, 2024
(GMT+2)


Palo Alto Networks {{ m-tag option="price" ticker="PANW" currency="USD" }}, a major player in the cybersecurity industry, has experienced significant growth since its IPO in 2012. The company executed a 3-for-1 stock split in September 2022. Prior to the split, shares closed at $548.88, then opened at $183.75, eventually climbing to an all-time high of $376.90 in February 2024. The stock trades in the low $330, slightly below its peak.

Platformization Strategy:

In response to rising competition, Palo Alto Networks is diversifying its services by bundling core offerings with newer features in what the company calls a "platformization" strategy. This approach aims to expand its moat against smaller cybersecurity competitors by leveraging free trials and deferred revenue deals. While these tactics stabilize long-term growth, they also temporarily impact margins.

Financial Projections for Fiscal 2024:

Despite these challenges, Palo Alto remains a dominant force in cybersecurity, driven by increasing demand for its cloud-based solutions amidst escalating cyber threats. For fiscal 2024, the company forecasts billings growth of 10% to 11%, revenue growth of 16%, and an impressive adjusted EPS increase of 25% to 26%.

The company ended last Friday's session with shares priced at $334.11, about 12% below its February peak of $380.84. This brings Palo Alto’s market valuation to $108.2 billion. The stock has risen 13.3% year-to-date, reflecting investor confidence in its long-term growth prospects, even amid mixed inflation signals and broader market uncertainty.

EPS Forecast:

As cybersecurity threats evolve and businesses increasingly prioritize digital security, analysts project Palo Alto's revenue to rise by 10.8% YoY to $2.16 billion for the current quarter. Although this growth has slowed from the 26% surge reported in the same period last year, earnings per share (EPS) are forecast to come in at $1.41, reflecting a slight decline. Analysts maintain an average price target of $351.6, just above the current trading price, indicating that PANW stock still offers upside potential for investors.

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